Heterogeneous effects of natural disasters on migration and household well-being in rural Vietnam: a panel data analysis

Trung Hoang, Huong Thu Nguyen () and Tuyen Tran
Additional contact information
Huong Thu Nguyen: Thuongmai University

Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, 2024, vol. 26, issue 10, No 88, 26751 pages

Abstract: Abstract Most existing studies have often ignored the fact that the impact of natural disasters on households may vary according to their dependence on agriculture. Moreover, no study has examined how natural disasters affect food consumption and cause economic damage and, more importantly, whether this effect varies across households. This study aims to explore the influence of natural disasters on the likelihood of households migrating, on their food consumption, remittances, and economic damage. In particular, the study analyzes whether the effect differs among rural households according to their dependence on agriculture. Assembled from three surveys in 2012, 2014, and 2016, we use a unique balanced panel dataset of 1929 households to investigate the influence of natural disasters on migration and household well-being in rural Vietnam. To account for unobservable time-invariant factors that may affect both migration and household well-being, we adopt a fixed-effect estimator. Analyzing a year of natural disasters, we discovered that these do, in fact, cause rural household migration. Further investigation reveals a heterogeneous effect. While natural disasters increase the probability of migration for those with average dependence on agriculture, this is not the case for those with low or high dependence. Natural shocks, however, have an increasing effect on remittances for the former group but not for the latter. Natural shocks cause economic damage for those who are moderately or heavily dependent on agriculture, but not for those who are less reliant on it. In addition, it was found that such shocks reduce the food consumption of those who are heavily reliant on agriculture. The findings imply that migrating may be an effective coping strategy for households with a moderate reliance on agriculture. In light of the finding that households with high reliance have a higher risk of falling into poverty after natural disasters, our study suggests that supportive policies should be prioritized for this vulnerable group. Also, a number of households in this group may face obstacles to migrating. Local government policies supporting their migration should be efficiently implemented, especially for those living in regions prone to natural disasters.

Keywords: Household wellbeing; Heterogeneous effect; Food consumption; Natural disasters; Migration; Rural Vietnam (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10668-023-03751-7 Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:endesu:v:26:y:2024:i:10:d:10.1007_s10668-023-03751-7

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer.com/economics/journal/10668

DOI: 10.1007/s10668-023-03751-7

Access Statistics for this article

Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development is currently edited by Luc Hens

More articles in Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().