The impacts of climatic conditions on cereal production: implications for food security in Africa

Robert Becker Pickson (), Elliot Boateng (), Peng Gui () and Ai Chen ()
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Robert Becker Pickson: Gongqing Institute of Science and Technology
Elliot Boateng: Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology
Peng Gui: Nanchang University
Ai Chen: Nanchang University

Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, 2024, vol. 26, issue 7, No 78, 18333-18360

Abstract: Abstract Climate change is a confounding factor that affects food security in several ways. Although the analyses of earlier studies in this area were largely non-technical, new analytical techniques have been developed to comprehensively evaluate climate change patterns and their implications for food security. In this study, we use recent developments in panel econometrics, which consider cross-sectional dependence and parameter heterogeneity, to examine the effects of climatic conditions on cereal farming in Africa from 1970Q1 to 2017Q4. The results show that rainfall positively affects cereal crops, although average temperatures are typically unfavourable. In the country-specific scenarios, we observed significant variations in the influence of climatic conditions on cereal production. The causality test results show a two-way causal relationship between climatic conditions—rainfall and temperature—and cereal production. It is suggested that African governments and non-governmental organisations support farmers' adaptation to climate change by implementing policies that prioritise farmers' capacity building and ensure that extension service officers engage with farmers intensively.

Keywords: Cereal production; Average rainfall; Average temperature; Rural population; Trade openness; Cultivated area; Africa (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1007/s10668-023-03391-x

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