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A least-squares Monte Carlo approach to the estimation of enterprise risk

Hongjun Ha () and Daniel Bauer ()
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Hongjun Ha: Saint Joseph’s University
Daniel Bauer: University of Wisconsin-Madison

Finance and Stochastics, 2022, vol. 26, issue 3, No 2, 417-459

Abstract: Abstract The estimation of enterprise risk for financial institutions entails a re-evaluation of the company’s economic balance sheet at a future time for a (large) number of stochastic scenarios. The current paper discusses tackling this nested valuation problem based on least-squares Monte Carlo techniques familiar from American option pricing. We formalise the algorithm in an operator setting and discuss the choice of the regressors (“basis functions”). In particular, we show that the left singular functions of the corresponding conditional expectation operator present robust basis functions. Our numerical examples demonstrate that the algorithm can produce accurate results at relatively low computational costs.

Keywords: Risk management; Least-squares Monte Carlo; Basis functions; 60J22; 91G60; 33C50 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C63 G22 G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1007/s00780-022-00478-7

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