Migration Responses to Earthquakes: Evidence from Italy

Roberto Basile (), Francesca Centofanti (), Luisa Giallonardo () and Francesca Licari ()
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Roberto Basile: University of L’Aquila
Francesca Centofanti: University of Rome Tor Vergata
Luisa Giallonardo: University of L’Aquila
Francesca Licari: National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT)

Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, 2024, vol. 10, issue 1, No 10, 269-291

Abstract: Abstract In this paper, we analyze the migration responses to natural disasters by focusing on the three most devastating earthquakes in Italy in recent decades: L’Aquila 2009, Emilia Romagna 2012, and Central Italy 2016. Using municipality-level data for 2002–2019 and adopting a new difference-in-difference approach with multiple periods and multiple groups, we evaluate the causal effect of these events on internal and international inbound and outbound migration of both Italian and foreign citizens. The results suggest that, despite the massive destruction, there is no evidence that these earthquakes significantly impacted the migration of Italian citizens. We only found evidence of the effect of the earthquake in L’Aquila on the short-distance migration of foreign citizens.

Keywords: Natural disasters; Migration; Counterfactual analysis; Difference-in-difference (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C14 C21 F22 J61 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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DOI: 10.1007/s40797-023-00226-6

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