The effect of the driving restriction policy on public health in Beijing

Yan Liu (), Zhijun Yan (), Su Liu (), Yuting Wu (), Qingmei Gan () and Chao Dong ()
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Yan Liu: Beijing Institute of Technology
Zhijun Yan: Beijing Institute of Technology
Su Liu: Beijing Institute of Technology
Yuting Wu: Beijing Institute of Technology
Qingmei Gan: Beijing Institute of Technology
Chao Dong: Beijing Institute of Technology

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2017, vol. 85, issue 2, No 6, 762 pages

Abstract: Abstract The driving restriction policy has been implemented to alleviate traffic congestion and air pollution in Beijing. Because of the traditionally superstitious aversion to the number four and preference for six and eight, Chinese people always consciously avoid the former while tend to choose the latter two for a vehicle license plate. As a result, there will be a significantly variation in circulating cars on roads between days with different numbers as the last digit of the license plates restricted. Leveraging this exogenous variation and daily data of 2009, we applied the generalized additive model to explore the association of driving restrictions and daily hospital admissions for respiratory disease in Beijing. Regression results revealed that banning 4 days with the number four experienced a 2.24 % [95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.73–2.77 %, p

Keywords: Driving restriction policy; Hospital admissions; Respiratory disease; Public health; Generalized additive model; Beijing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2602-8

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