Climate change, growth in agriculture value-added, food availability and economic growth nexus in the Gambia: a Granger causality and ARDL modeling approach

Ebrima K. Ceesay (), Phillips C. Francis (), Sama Jawneh (), Matarr Njie (), Christopher Belford () and Momodou Mustapha Fanneh ()
Additional contact information
Ebrima K. Ceesay: University of the Gambia
Phillips C. Francis: Cheikh Anta Diop university of Dakar (UCAD)
Sama Jawneh: University of the Gambia
Matarr Njie: University of the Gambia
Christopher Belford: University of the Gambia
Momodou Mustapha Fanneh: University of the Gambia

SN Business & Economics, 2021, vol. 1, issue 7, 1-31

Abstract: Abstract This paper aims to test empirically, the direction of causality between climate change, agriculture valued added, Food production (the proxy for food availability), and economic growth in the Gambia. This study employed annual data which were collected for the period 1960–2017 and analyzed these data using the ARDL approach and the granger causality framework. The empirical evidence shows that: (1) the short-run and long-run ARDL model confirmed that the growth of fish production and growth of livestock production in the Gambia have significant positive impacts on the growth of GDP; (2) the short-run and long-run ARDL model indicated that growth of food import and growth of agriculture have negative impacts on the growth of GDP; (3) Granger causality analysis between the lagged values of growth of GDP and lagged values of growth of Food availability indicators has unidirectional relationships; (4) lagged values of the growth of GDP Granger cause lagged values of growth of agriculture but lagged values of growth of agriculture do not garger cause lagged values of growth of GDP, which suggested an indirect relationship; (5) the relationship between the lagged values of growth of crop production and lagged values of growth of agriculture indicated a bidirectional relationship. Finally, an important indication is established on the role of fish production, livestock production, climate change, and crop production to control food availability and economic growth in the Gambia.

Keywords: ARDL; Granger causality; Food production; Agriculture; Climate change; Economic growth (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s43546-021-00100-6 Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:snbeco:v:1:y:2021:i:7:d:10.1007_s43546-021-00100-6

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://www.springer.com/journal/43546

DOI: 10.1007/s43546-021-00100-6

Access Statistics for this article

SN Business & Economics is currently edited by Gino D'Oca

More articles in SN Business & Economics from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().