African crop production trends are insufficient to guarantee food security in the sub-Saharan region by 2050 owing to persistent poverty

Charles Onyutha ()
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Charles Onyutha: Muni University

Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, 2018, vol. 10, issue 5, No 6, 1203-1219

Abstract: Abstract To meet the future food demand, supply should be increased. Crop production in Africa is projected to increase in the future. However, can the crop production trends guarantee future food security? For illustrative analyses, cereal was used on the assumption, following a recent study, that the changes in its production are representative of those for other major food crops. For 50 African countries, trends and variability in cereal production, yield, and area harvested from 1961 to 2014 as well as the ratio of production to population (RPP) were analyzed by testing the null hypothesis H0 (no trend) and H0 (natural randomness) at α = 0.05. For negative (positive) trends in production, yield, area harvested, and RPP, respectively, H0 (no trend) was rejected (p

Keywords: Africa; Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA); Food insecurity; Poverty; Cereal production; Food production; Trends and variability; CSD trend test; Climate variability; The Fall Armyworm (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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DOI: 10.1007/s12571-018-0839-7

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