Development of a Hybrid Data Driven Model for Hydrological Estimation

Shahab Araghinejad, Nima Fayaz () and Seyed-Mohammad Hosseini-Moghari
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Shahab Araghinejad: University of Tehran
Nima Fayaz: Syracuse University
Seyed-Mohammad Hosseini-Moghari: University of Tehran

Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), 2018, vol. 32, issue 11, No 12, 3737-3750

Abstract: Abstract High and low stremflow values forecasting is of great importance in field of water resources in order to mitigate the impacts of flood and drought. Most of water resources models deal with the problem of not being flexible for modeling maximum and minimum flows. To overcome that shortcoming, a combination of artificial neural network (ANN) models is developed in this study for monthly streamflow forecasting. A probabilistic neural network (PNN) is used to classify each of the input-output patterns and afterward, the classified data are forecasted using a modified multi-layer perceptron (MMLP). In addition, the performance of the MLP and generalized regression neural network (GRNN) in streamflow forecasting are investigated and compared to the proposed method. The findings indicate that the R2 associated with the suggested model is 46 and 80% higher compared to MLP and GRNN models, respectively.

Keywords: Probabilistic neural network; Generalized regression neural network; Multi-layer perceptron; Hybrid models; Streamflow forecasting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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DOI: 10.1007/s11269-018-2016-3

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