The Price Discovery of the Malaysian Crude Palm Oil Futures Markets

Nik Muhammad Naziman Ab Rahman, Abdol Samad Nawi and Yusrina Hayati Nik Muhd Naziman

Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, 2012, vol. 2, issue 4, 3

Abstract: This paper investigates the market efficiency of the Malaysian crude palm oil prices using data for the sample period spanning from 1998:01 – 2010:12. The univariate unit root test confirms that all series are non-stationary in their levels. The Johansen multivariate test provides empirical evidence for spot and futures prices are co-integrated. This implies that the market efficiency hypothesis can be easily rejected. The Error-Correction Model (ECM) also shows that there is a dynamics relationship between spot and futures prices. This provides further evidence that the crude palm oil prices do possess the price discovery function.

Date: 2012
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