EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

How forward-looking is the Fed? Direct estimates from a `Calvo-type' rule

Vasco Gabriel, Paul Levine () and Christopher Spencer
Additional contact information
Christopher Spencer: University of Surrey

No 508, School of Economics Discussion Papers from School of Economics, University of Surrey

Abstract: We estimate an alternative type of monetary policy rule, termed Calvo rule, according to which the central bank is assumed to target a discounted in?nite sum of future expected in?ation. Compared to conventional in?ation forecast-based rules, which are typically of the Taylor-type with discrete forward looking horizons, this class of rule is less prone to the problem of indeterminacy. Parameter estimates obtained from GMM estimation provide support for Calvo-type rules, suggesting that the Federal Reserve targeted a mean forward horizon of between 4 and 8 quarters.

Keywords: Calvo-type interest rules; In?ation Forecast Based rules; GMM; Indeterminacy. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 9 pages
Date: 2008-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac and nep-mon
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Downloads: (external link)
https://repec.som.surrey.ac.uk/2008/DP05-08.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: How forward-looking is the Fed? Direct estimates from a 'Calvo-type' rule (2009) Downloads
Working Paper: How forward-looking is the Fed? Direct estimates from a ‘Calvo-type’ rule (2008) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sur:surrec:0508

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in School of Economics Discussion Papers from School of Economics, University of Surrey Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Ioannis Lazopoulos ().

 
Page updated 2025-03-24
Handle: RePEc:sur:surrec:0508