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On arbitrage-free pricing of weather derivatives based on fractional Brownian motion

Fred Espen Benth

Applied Mathematical Finance, 2003, vol. 10, issue 4, 303-324

Abstract: We derive an arbitrage-free pricing dynamics for claims on temperature, where the temperature follows a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Using a fractional white noise calculus, one can express the dynamics as a special type of conditional expectation not coinciding with the classical one. Using a Fourier transformation technique, explicit expressions are derived for claims of European and average type, and it is shown that these pricing formulas are solutions of certain Black and Scholes partial differential equations. Our results partly confirm a conjecture made by Brody, Syroka and Zervos.

Keywords: Fractional Brownian motion; weather derivatives; arbitrage; option pricing; partial-differential equations; white noise analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (32)

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DOI: 10.1080/1350486032000174628

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