Is there J-Curve effect in Africa?

Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee and Abera Gelan

International Review of Applied Economics, 2012, vol. 26, issue 1, 73-81

Abstract: The J-Curve is a term used to describe the post-devaluation behavior of the trade balance, i.e., initial deterioration followed by an improvement. Previous research has tested the phenomenon for many developed and developing countries. However, African nations have not received any attention on this regard. In this paper, we test the hypothesis for nine African countries of Burundi, Egypt, Kenya, Mauritius, Morocco, Nigeria, Sierra Leone, South Africa, and Tanzania for which quarterly trade data were available. After using the bounds testing approach to cointegration and error-correction modeling, we were unable to find any support for the J-Curve.

Date: 2012
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DOI: 10.1080/02692171.2011.619972

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