Actuarial Modeling with MCMC and BUGs
David Scollnik
North American Actuarial Journal, 2001, vol. 5, issue 2, 96-124
Abstract:
In this paper, the author reviews some aspects of Bayesian data analysis and discusses how a variety of actuarial models can be implemented and analyzed in accordance with the Bayesian paradigm using Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques via the BUGS (Bayesian inference Using Gibbs Sampling) suite of software packages. The emphasis is placed on actuarial loss models, but other applications are referenced, and directions are given for obtaining documentation for additional worked examples on the World Wide Web.
Date: 2001
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DOI: 10.1080/10920277.2001.10595987
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