Turkiye’de Asiri Kredi Genislemeleri

Mahir Binici and Bulent Koksal

CBT Research Notes in Economics from Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

Abstract: [TR] Bu calismada Aralik 2002 sonrasi icin Turkiye’de banka kredilerindeki asiri genisleme donemleri alternatif kredi olcutleri dikkate alinarak tanimlanmakta ve soz konusu genislemelerle iliskili olan faktorler belirlenmektedir. Ozellikle getiri egrisindeki degisimler, reel doviz kuru, ABD faiz orani ve net sermaye girisleri ile asiri kredi genislemesi olasiligi arasinda guclu bir iliski bulunmustur. Sonuclar, bu faktorlerin finansal istikrari tehdit edebilecek asiri kredi genislemelerinin tahmininde onemli unsurlar olarak goz onune alinmasi gerektigini gostermektedir. [EN] By using different credit measures, this study identifies the credit booms in Turkey that have occurred after December 2002, and examines the related factors with these events. We find that the factors that have a strong correlation with the probability of a credit boom are the changes in the slope of the yield curve, reel exchange rate, US interest rate and net capital inflows. The results imply that these factors should be considered as important elements in forecasting such events that could threaten financial stability.

Date: 2012
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ara
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/56c5876d-f ... 2e59f3318a64-m3fw55d (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:tcb:econot:1215

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in CBT Research Notes in Economics from Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by () and ().