Enerji Fiyatlari ve Parite Degisimlerinin Ihracat ve Ithalat Fiyatlarindaki Degisime Katkisi

Okan Eren

CBT Research Notes in Economics from Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

Abstract: [TR] Bu calisma, Turkiye’nin altin haric ihracat ve ithalat birim deger endekslerinde 2003 Ocak - 2015 Ocak doneminde gerceklesen degisimlere, parite (dis ticarette kullanilan para birimlerinin ABD dolari cinsinden degeri) ve enerji fiyatlarindaki degisimin katkisini hesaplamaktadir. Adi gecen donemde altin haric ihracat (ithalat) fiyatlarindaki yillik degisimin ortalamasi yuzde 4,5 (5,0) civarinda gerceklesirken enerji fiyatlarinin ve paritenin ortalama katkisi sirasiyla 0,3 (2,1) ve 0,8 (0,6) puan olmustur. Son donemlerde ozellikle 2014 Agustos - 2015 Ocak doneminde gerek paritenin gerekse de enerji fiyatlarinin altin haric dis ticaret birim deger endekslerinde gozlenen degisimlerdeki payi onemli olcude yukselmistir. Soz konusu donemde ihracat (ithalat) fiyatlarindaki yillik degisimin ortalamasi yuzde -3,6 (-5,9) olurken, enerji fiyatlarinin katkisi -0,9 (-3,6) puan, paritenin katkisi -3,5 (-2,6) puan olarak hesaplanmistir. [EN] This study calculates the contribution of energy price and exchange rate parity (US dollar equivalent of currencies that are used in external trade) changes to the changes observed in Turkish export and import prices excluding gold between January 2003 and January 2015. In that period, the average annual change in export (import) prices is around 4.5 (5.0) percent, to which energy price and parity contribute 0.3 (2.1) and 0.8 (0.6) percentage points respectively. The individual shares of those two factors in both export and import price movements have been increasing considerably since August of 2014. Quantitatively speaking, export (import) price index on average experienced a -3.6 (-5.9) percent annual change while the energy prices and parity accounted for -0.9 (-3.6) and -3.5 (-2.6) percentage points, respectively.

Date: 2015
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:tcb:econot:1509

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