Bolgeler Itibariyla Ihracat Agirlikli Buyume Endeksleri

Okan Eren and Devrim Yavuz

CBT Research Notes in Economics from Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

Abstract: [TR] Bu calismada Turkiye'nin ihracat yaptigi 110 ulkenin reel buyume oranlari ve ihracat paylari kullanilarak kuresel ve bolgesel olcekte buyume endeksleri hesaplanmaktadir. Buyume endekslerinin bu sekilde hesaplanmasi dis talebin gerek kuresel gerekse bolgesel duzeyde olculmesine ve analiz edilmesine olanak saglamaktadir. Ayrica ihracat agirlikli kuresel buyumeye bolgesel katkilarin hesaplanmasiyla gecmis yillarda dis talepte gozlenen degisimlerin kaynaklari incelenebilir hale gelmektedir. Bulgular, ihracat agirlikli buyumenin bolgeler arasinda onemli farkliliklar gosterdigine ve Turkiye'nin kuresel dis talep buyumesinin daha cok Avrupa Birligi ile Ortadogu ve Afrika ulkeleri tarafindan belirlendigine isaret etmektedir.[EN] This study utilizes real GDP growth rates and export weights of 110 trade partners of Turkey to calculate headline and regional indices. Calculation of growth indices in this way makes it possible to measure and analyze foreign demand at both global and regional scale. Besides, sources of past shocks to foreign demand can also be analyzed with the calculation of regional contributions to the export-weighted global growth rate. The findings show that export-weighted growth rates display notable differences across regions, and global foreign demand growth for Turkey is mainly shaped by the European Union and Middle Eastern and African countries.

Date: 2020
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