Buyume Kompozisyonunda Surdurulebilir Bilesenlerin Payi

Mert Gokcu and Abdullah Kazdal

CBT Research Notes in Economics from Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

Abstract: [TR] Bu notta, son donemde Türkiye’nin buyume kompozisyonunda surdurulebilir bilesenlerin payi ile makine-techizat yatirimlarinin gelisimi incelenmistir. Türkiye pandemi sonrasi donemde guclu bir buyume performansi sergilemis ve bununla uyumlu olarak istihdam kazanclari saglamistir. Diger ulkelerle karsilastirildiginda buyume oranlarinin daha yuksek olmasinin yani sira buyume kompozisyonunda surdurulebilir bilesenlerin payinin da arttigi dikkat cekmektedir. Uretim potansiyelini artiran makine-techizat yatirimlari ile cari dengeyi destekleyen net ihracatin GSYIH’deki toplam paylari uzun donem ortalamalarinin uzerinde seyretmektedir. Son yillarda hem birikimli reel kur gelismelerinin hem de pandemi sonrasi Turkiye’nin konumu itibariyla sagladigi avantajin etkisiyle firmalarin ihracat yapma egilimi artmis, ihracat yapilan urun ve ulke sayisi genislemistir. Boylece, ihracatci firmalarin uretim ve yatirim beklentileri guclu seyretmis ve bu durum buyume kompozisyonundaki soz konusu gorunumu desteklemistir. Ote yandan, gecmis donemlerde olusan yatirim acigi ile baglantili kapasite artirim ihtiyaci da yeni makine-techizat yatirimlarini tesvik etmistir. [EN] This note analyzes the share of sustainable components in Türkiye's growth composition and the course of machinery-equipment investments in the recent period. Türkiye exhibited a strong growth performance in the post-pandemic period and provided employment gains in line with this. In addition to higher growth rates compared to other countries, it is noteworthy that the share of sustainable components in the growth composition has also increased. The total shares of machinery-equipment investments that increase the potential output and net exports that support the current account balance in GDP are above the long-term averages. In recent years, with the effect of both the cumulative real exchange rate developments and the advantage of Türkiye's geographic position, the tendency of companies to export has increased, and the number of exported products and partner countries has expanded. Thus, the production and investment expectations of exporting companies remained strong and supported the outlook in the growth composition. Moreover, the need for capacity increase in connection with the investment gap in the past has also encouraged new machinery-equipment investments.

Date: 2022
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