Sabit Pazar Paylari Analizi ile Turkiye’nin Ihracat Performansi

Altan Aldan, Muhammet Enes Cirakli and Didem Yazici

CBT Research Notes in Economics from Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

Abstract: [TR] Bu calismada, 2006-2021 doneminde Turkiye’nin ihracat buyumesinin zaman icindeki seyri sabit pazar paylari yontemi kullanilarak incelenmistir. Bu yontem ihracat artisinda nominal kuresel ihracat buyumesi, urun ve pazar kompozisyonu gibi goreli dissal etkilerin ve ihracatci firmalarin pazar paylarindaki degisimini gosteren pazar payi etkisinin katkilarini ayristirmaktadir. Turkiye OECD ulkeleriarasinda ihracat artisinda ust siralarda yer almaktadir. Analiz sonuclarina gore, ihracat artisi pazar payi etkisinin katkisina gore siralandiginda Turkiye’nin goreli durumunun daha iyi oldugu gozlenmektedir. Son yillarda pazar payi etkisinin ihracat artisina surekli olumlu katkida bulundugu gorulmektedir. Bu katki 2019 yilindan itibaren oldukca belirgin hale gelmistir. [EN] In this study, we examine the course of Türkiye's export growth over the period of 2006-2021 using the constant market shares method. This method decomposes the contributions of relatively exogenous effects such as nominal global export growth, product and market composition, and the market share effect, which shows the change in the market shares of exporting firms, in the increase of exports. Türkiye ranks high in export growth among OECD countries. Our results show that Türkiye’s relative situation is better when ranked according to the contribution of the market share effect. In recent years, market share effect has a continuous positive contribution to export growth. This contribution has become quite evident since 2019.

Date: 2023
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