Potential Growth in Turkey: Sources and Trends

Orhun Sevinc, Ufuk Demiroglu, Emre Cakir and E. Meltem Bastan

Working Papers from Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

Abstract: This paper estimates potential growth in Turkey using a production function estimation approach. Our approach aims to measure the inputs of production in the most detailed fashion that is possible and empirically addresses concepts of sustainable potential growth for Turkey. While developing measures of the sources of potential growth, we provide a thorough discussion of the estimated trends in labor force participation, capital growth by asset type, and total factor productivity since the mid-2000s. Our results suggest that the key driver of potential growth has increasingly been capital accumulation. The declining trend in the positive TFP growth stands out as the key area of improvement for potential growth.

Keywords: Potential growth; Labor force participation; Productivity; Capital accumulation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E1 J21 O4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ara, nep-eff, nep-fdg, nep-lma, nep-mac and nep-ore
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https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/EN/TCMB+EN ... g+Paperss/2021/21-07 (application/pdf)

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Journal Article: Potential growth in Turkey: Sources and trends (2022)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:tcb:wpaper:2107

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