Linear IV Regression Estimators for Structural Dynamic Discrete Choice Models

Myrto Kalouptsidi, Paul Scott and Eduardo Souza-Rodrigues

Working Papers from University of Toronto, Department of Economics

Abstract: In structural dynamic discrete choice models, unobserved or mis-measured state variables may lead to biased parameter estimates and misleading inference. In this paper, we show that instrumental variables can address such measurement problems when they relate to state variables that evolve exogenously from the perspective of individual agents (i.e., market-level states). We define a class of linear instrumental variables estimators that rely on Euler equations expressed in terms of conditional choice probabilities (ECCP estimators). These estimators do not require observing or modeling the agent's entire information set, nor solving or simulating a dynamic program. As such, they are simple to implement and computationally light. We provide constructive arguments for the identification of model primitives, and establish the estimator's consistency and asymptotic normality. Four applied examples serve to illustrate the ECCP approach's implementation, advantages, and limitations: dynamic demand for durable goods, agricultural land use change, technology adoption, and dynamic labor supply. We illustrate the estimator's good finite-sample performance in a Monte Carlo study, and we estimate a labor supply model empirically for taxi drivers in New York City.

Keywords: dynamic discrete choice; unobserved states; instrumental variables; identification; Euler equations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C13 C35 C36 C51 C61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: Unknown pages
Date: 2020-08-26
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dcm and nep-ore
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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