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U.S. Core Inflation: A Wavelet Analysis

Kevin Dowd and John Cotter
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Kevin Dowd: The University of Nottingham, UK

No 200617, Working Papers from Geary Institute, University College Dublin

Abstract: This paper proposes the use of wavelet methods to estimate U.S. core inflation. It explains wavelet methods and suggests they are ideally suited to this task. Comparisons are made with traditional CPI-based and regression-based measures for their performance in following trend inflation and predicting future inflation. Results suggest that wavelet-based measures perform better, and sometimes much better, than the traditional approaches. These results suggest that wavelet methods are a promising avenue for future research on core inflation.

Keywords: core inflation; wavelets; trend inflation; inflation prediction (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 50 pages
Date: 2011-06-24
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac and nep-mon
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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http://www.ucd.ie/geary/static/publications/workingpapers/gearywp200617.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: U.S. CORE INFLATION: A WAVELET ANALYSIS (2011) Downloads
Working Paper: U.S. Core Inflation: A Wavelet Analysis (2011) Downloads
Working Paper: U.S. Core Inflation: A Wavelet Analysis (2006) Downloads
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