Voting in Kenya: Putting Ethnicity in Perspective

Michael Bratton and Mwangi Kimenyi
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Michael Bratton: Michigan State University

No 2008-09, Working papers from University of Connecticut, Department of Economics

Abstract: Do Kenyans vote according to ethnic identities or policy interests? Based on results from a national probability sample survey conducted in the first week of December 2007, this article shows that, while ethnic origins drive voting patterns, elections in Kenya amount to more than a mere ethnic census. We start by reviewing how Kenyans see themselves, which is mainly in non-ethnic terms. We then report on how they see others, whom they fear will organize politically along ethnic lines. People therefore vote defensively in ethnic blocs, but not exclusively. In Decem- ber 2007, they also took particular policy issues into account, including living standards, corruption and majimbo (federalism). We demonstrate that the relative weight that individuals grant to ethnic and policy voting depends in good part on how they define their group identities, with "ethnics" engaging in identity voting and "non-ethnics" giving more weight to interests and issues.

Keywords: Democracy; Elections; Kenya; Ethnic Divisions; Ethnic Conflict. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 D74 D78 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 24 pages
Date: 2008-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr, nep-cdm, nep-dev and nep-pol
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (36)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:uct:uconnp:2008-09

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