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Counting the Missing Poor in Pre-Industrial Societies

Mathieu Lefebvre, Pierre Pestieau and Gregory Ponthierez

Working Papers of BETA from Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg

Abstract: Under income-differentiated mortality, poverty measures suffer from a selection bias: they do not count the missing poor (i.e. persons who would have been counted as poor provided they did not die prematurely). The Pre-Industrial period being characterized by an evolutionary advantage (i.e. a higher number of surviving children per household) of the non-poor over the poor, one may expect that the missing poor bias is substantial during that period. This paper aims at estimating the missing poor bias in Pre-Industrial societies, by computing the hypothetical headcount poverty rates that would have prevailed provided the non-poor did not benefit from an evolutionary advantage over the poor. Using data on Pre-Industrial England, we show that the sign and size of the missing poor bias is sensitive to the degree of downward mobility for the non-poor.

Keywords: poverty; measurement; selection e¤ects; missing poor. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dem, nep-gro and nep-his
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Downloads: (external link)
http://beta.u-strasbg.fr/WP/2021/2021-29.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Counting the missing poor in pre-industrial societies (2023) Downloads
Journal Article: Counting the missing poor in pre-industrial societies (2023) Downloads
Working Paper: Counting the missing poor in pre-industrial societies (2023)
Working Paper: Counting the missing poor in pre-industrial societies (2023) Downloads
Working Paper: Counting the missing poor in pre-industrial societies (2023) Downloads
Working Paper: Counting the Missing Poor in Pre-Industrial Societies (2021) Downloads
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