An Analysis of Oil Production by OPEC Countries: Persistence, Breaks, and Outliers

Carlos Barros, Luis Gil-Alana and James Payne

No 01/11, Faculty Working Papers from School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra

Abstract: This study examines the degree of persistence, potential breaks and outliers of oil production for OPEC member countries within a fractional integration modelling framework using monthly data from January 1973 to October 2008. The results indicate there is mean reverting persistence in oil production with breaks identified in ten out of the fourteen countries examined. Thus, shocks affecting the structure of OPEC oil production will have persistent effects in the long run for all countries, and in some cases the effects are expected to be permanent.

Pages: 34 pages
Date: 2011-01-18
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cwa and nep-ene
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (44)

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http://www.unav.edu/documents/10174/6546776/1298996884_WP_UNAV_01_11.pdf (application/pdf)

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Journal Article: An analysis of oil production by OPEC countries: Persistence, breaks, and outliers (2011)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:una:unccee:wp0111

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