The likelihood of 24 Least Developed Countries graduating from the LDC category by 2020: an achievable goal?

Hiroshi Kawamura

CDP Background Papers from United Nations, Department of Economics and Social Affairs

Abstract: This paper examines the prospects of achieving a main goal of the Istanbul Programme of Action—at least half of the LDCs to meet the graduation criteria by 2020. Based on two different sets of graduation criteria established by the CDP and current trends in socio-economic indicators of LDCs, the paper concludes that the goal is unlikely to be met even under an optimistic scenario. There are considerable uncertainties about the possible outcome, partly owing to the way in which the graduation criteria are established and partly owing to the difficulty of predicting future course of socio-economic development of LDCs.

Keywords: least development countries; Istanbul Programme of Action; graduation; GNI; human asset index; economic vulnerability index (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F53 F55 O10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 28 pages
Date: 2014-07
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/policy/cdp/c ... papers/bp2014_20.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:une:cpaper:020

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in CDP Background Papers from United Nations, Department of Economics and Social Affairs Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Aimee Gao ().