Coping with COVID-19 and enhancing long-term resilence to future shocks: an assessment of fuel-exporting countries in Asia and Pacific

Zhenqian Huang and Lulu Zhao
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Zhenqian Huang: Macroeconomic Policy and Financing for Development Division, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific
Lulu Zhao: Intern, Macroeconomic Policy and Financing for Development Division, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific

No PB113, MPDD Policy Briefs from United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP)

Abstract: COVID-19 and the oil prices crash induced by it have imposed a double whammy on fuel-exporting countries in Asia and the Pacific. Compared to other countries, they are likely to experience greater economic weaknesses, as they face not only slowdown in economic activities, but also revenue shortfalls, deteriorating export earnings and capital flight, and depreciation pressure on currencies due to lower-than-expected oil prices. To cope with the immediate negative impacts of COVID-19, countries have introduced timely and necessary large and targeted fiscal and monetary policy measures. However, these immediate policy measures should not take the policy attention away from the long over-due and much-needed structural economic transformation in fuelexporting countries. Excessive dependence on fuels, especially oil, has kept these countries very vulnerable to the commodity boom and bust cycles.Therefore, when designing economic recovery packages, countries should also embed long-term sustainability considerations by introducing measures that can help them diversify their economies and reduce reliance on fossil fuels.

Date: 2020-07
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