Revenue forecasting in the mining industries: A data-driven approach

Benjamin Jones

No wp-2020-22, WIDER Working Paper Series from World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER)

Abstract: Robust forecasting of mining sector revenues is key to effective budgeting (and broader fiscal management) in many resource-rich countries. However, this is challenging in practice, given commodity market volatility, the extended lags (and often opaque processes) between resource discoveries and fiscal yields, and the heterogeneity of taxable entities within the sector. Such issues are exacerbated by capacity deficits: quantitative sector assessment frameworks are seldom employed or maintained by revenue authorities.

Keywords: Corporate income tax; Extractive industries; Mining taxation; Minerals; Mining; Revenue forecasting; Royalties (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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