International commodity prices, growth and the outbreak of Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa

Markus Brückner and Antonio Ciccone

Economics Working Papers from Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra

Abstract: To learn more about the effect of economic conditions on civil war, we examine whether Sub-Saharan civil wars are more likely to start following downturns in the international price of countries’ main export commodities. The data show a robust effect of commodity price downturns on the outbreak of civil wars. We also find that Sub-Saharan countries are more likely to see civil wars following economic downturns in their main OECD export destinations.

Keywords: Commodity prices; civil war; Sub-Saharian Africa (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O0 P0 Q0 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007-10, Revised 2009-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr, nep-dev and nep-his
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (16)

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Related works:
Journal Article: International Commodity Prices, Growth and the Outbreak of Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa (2010)
Working Paper: International Commodity Prices, Growth, and the Outbreak of Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa (2009)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:upf:upfgen:1053

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