The effects of monetary policy on stock market bubbles: Some evidence

Jordi Galí and Luca Gambetti

Economics Working Papers from Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra

Abstract: We estimate the response of stock prices to exogenous monetary policy shocks using a vector-autoregressive model with time-varying parameters. Our evidence points to protracted episodes in which, after a a short-run decline, stock prices increase persistently in response to an exogenous tightening of monetary policy. That response is clearly at odds with the "conventional" view on the effects of monetary policy on bubbles, as well as with the predictions of bubbleless models. We also argue that it is unlikely that such evidence be accounted for by an endogenous response of the equity premium to the monetary policy shocks.

Keywords: leaning against the wind policies; financial stability; inflation targeting; asset price booms. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E52 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-10, Revised 2013-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac and nep-mon
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Related works:
Journal Article: The Effects of Monetary Policy on Stock Market Bubbles: Some Evidence (2015)
Working Paper: The Effects of Monetary Policy on Stock Market Bubbles: Some Evidence (2015)
Working Paper: The Effects of Monetary Policy on Stock Market Bubbles: Some Evidence (2014)
Working Paper: The Effects of Monetary Policy on Stock Market Bubbles: Some Evidence (2014)
Chapter: The Effects of Monetary Policy on Stock Market Bubbles: Some Evidence (2013)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:upf:upfgen:1392

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