Climate change and migration: the case of Africa

Bruno Conte

Economics Working Papers from Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra

Abstract: How will future climate change affect rural economies like sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) in terms of migration and welfare losses? How can policy enhance SSA's capacity to adapt to this process? I answer these questions with a quantitative framework that, coupled with rich spatial data and forecasts for the future, estimates millions of climate migrants and sizeable and unequal welfare losses in SSA. Investigating migration and trade policies as mitigating tools, I find a tradeoff associated with the former: reducing SSA migration barriers to the European Union (EU) standards eliminates aggregate welfare losses at the cost of more climate migration and high regional inequality. Reducing tariffs to the EU levels attenuates this cost.

Keywords: climate change; migration; economic geography (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O15 Q54 R12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr, nep-agr, nep-env, nep-geo, nep-int and nep-ure
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Related works:
Working Paper: Climate change and migration: the case of Africa (2023)
Working Paper: Climate Change and Migration: The Case of Africa (2022)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:upf:upfgen:1880

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