The Impact of Regulatory Stress Testing on Bank's Equity and CDS Performance

Lukas Ahnert, Pascal Vogt, Volker Vonhoff and Florian Weigert ()

No 1814, Working Papers on Finance from University of St. Gallen, School of Finance

Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of stress testing results on bank's equity and CDS performance using a large sample of ten tests from the US CCAR and the European EBA regimes in the time period between 2010 and 2017. We find that passing banks experience positive abnormal equity returns and tighter CDS spreads, while failing banks show strong drops in equity prices and widening CDS spreads. Interestingly, we also document strong market reactions at the announcement date of the stress tests. A bank’s asset quality and its return on equity at the time of the announcement are significant predictors of the pass/fail outcome of a bank.

Keywords: Banks; Stress Testing; Equity Performance; CDS Performance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G00 G21 G28 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 36 pages
Date: 2018-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-cba, nep-eff, nep-fmk and nep-rmg
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (10)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:usg:sfwpfi:2018:14

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