Education and the Geography of Brexit

Robert Calvert Jump and Jo Michell

Working Papers from Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol

Abstract: The role of education in the geography of Brexit is usually examined using descriptive statistics and regression, which are ill-suited to the assessment of predictive capacity. By presenting in-sample and out-of-sample probit classification results, this paper demonstrates that educational attainment alone can correctly classify up to 92.24% of local authorities by voting outcome, including up to 80% of Remain-voting authorities. These results emphasise the importance of education as a key factor in the political geography of the Brexit vote.

Date: 2019-01-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int, nep-pol and nep-ure
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https://www2.uwe.ac.uk/faculties/BBS/Documents/UWE ... graphy-of-Brexit.pdf

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:uwe:wpaper:20191901

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