Accounting for Achievement in Athens: A Count Data Analysis of National Olympic Performance

Glen Roberts ()
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Glen Roberts: Department of Economics, University of Victoria, https://www.uvic.ca/socialsciences/economics/

No 602, Econometrics Working Papers from Department of Economics, University of Victoria

Abstract: We model summer Olympic medal counts using count data analysis. The advantage of this methodology is its explicit recognition of the discrete non-negative form of the dependent variable; i.e. the total number of medals won by a nation in a summer Olympiad. Using data from the most recent 2004 Summer Games in Athens, Poisson and negative binomial count data regression models are constructed. The chosen model is negative binomial and attaches statistical significance to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita, the age dependency ratio, and a relatively cold climate. In contrast to previous studies, population, health expenditure per capita, and the effect of being a host or neighbour nation of an Olympiad are all insignificant in explaining medal counts. We also find no “cricket effect” or “rugby effect.”

Keywords: Olympics; count data; Poisson model; negative binomial model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C16 C25 L83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 13 pages
Date: 2006-08-16
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-spo
Note: ISSN 1485-6441
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:vic:vicewp:0602

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