External Shocks, Household Consumption and Fertility in Indonesia

Jungho Kim and Alexia Fürnkranz-Prskawetz

No 604, VID Working Papers from Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna

Abstract: This paper examines the impact of idiosyncratic income shocks on household consumption, educational expenditure and fertility in Indonesia, and assesses whether the investment in human capital of children and fertility are used to smooth household consumption. Using six different kinds of self-reported economic hardships, our findings indicate that coping mechanisms are rather efficient for Indonesian households that perceive an economic hardship. Only in case of unemployment we find a significant decrease in consumption spending and educational expenditure while fertility increases. Theses results indicate that households that perceive an unemployment shock use children as a means for smoothing consumption. Regarding the death of a household member or natural disaster we find that consumption even increases. These results are consistent with the argument that coping mechanisms even over-compensate the actual consumption loss due to an economic hardship. One important lesson from our findings is that different types of income shock may lead to different economic and demographic behavioral adjustments and therefore require specific targeted social insurance programs.

Keywords: Consumption; Insurance; Fertility and Indonesia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 35 pages
Date: 2009-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-hap, nep-ias and nep-sea
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Journal Article: External Shocks, Household Consumption and Fertility in Indonesia (2010)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:vid:wpaper:0604

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