An evaluation of the performance of regression discontinuity design on PROGRESA

Hielke Buddelmeyer and Emmanuel Skoufias

No 3386, Policy Research Working Paper Series from The World Bank

Abstract: While providing the most reliable method of evaluating social programs, randomized experiments in developing and developed countries alike are accompanied by political risks and ethical issues that jeopardize the chances of adopting them. In this paper the authors use a unique data set from rural Mexico collected for the purposes of evaluating the impact of the PROGRESA poverty alleviation program to examine the performance of a quasi-experimental estimator, the Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD). Using as a benchmark the impact estimates based on the experimental nature of the sample, we examine how estimates differ when we use the RDD as the estimator for evaluating program impact on two key indicators: child school attendance and child work. Overall the performance of the RDD was remarkably good. The RDD estimates of program impact agreed with the experimental estimates in 10 out of the 12 possible cases. The two cases in which the RDD method failed to reveal any significant program impact on the school attendance of boys and girls were in the first year of the program (round 3). RDD estimates comparable to the experimental estimates were obtained when we used as a comparison group children from non-eligible households in the control localities.

Keywords: Scientific Research&Science Parks; Public Health Promotion; Health Monitoring&Evaluation; Housing&Human Habitats; Anthropology; Scientific Research&Science Parks; Science Education; VN-Acb Mis -- IFC-00535908; Health Monitoring&Evaluation; Housing&Human Habitats (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004-09-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dev and nep-ecm
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (30)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSC ... /wps3386PROGRESA.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: An Evaluation of the Performance of Regression Discontinuity Design on PROGRESA (2003)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:3386

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Policy Research Working Paper Series from The World Bank 1818 H Street, N.W., Washington, DC 20433. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Roula I. Yazigi ().