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Exploring Lebanon's growth prospects

Jean-Claude Berthélemy, Sebastien Dessus () and Charbel Nahas

No 4332, Policy Research Working Paper Series from The World Bank

Abstract: This paper attempts to identify Lebanon's greatest constraints to economic growth, following a growth diagnosis approach. It concludes that fiscal imbalances and barriers to entry are most binding on long-term growth. Macroeconomic imbalances and related perceived risks affect the nature of investment decisions in Lebanon, in favor of liquid instruments rather than longer-term productive investments. Further, many barriers to entry discourage agents from investing in a number of markets: legal impediments to competition, corruption, and a set of fiscal incentives favoring the allocation of resources to non-tradable sectors, where potential demand and investment opportunities are scarcer. In turn, using a steady-state computable general equilibrium model, the paper assesses the long-term growth impact of a selected set of policy reforms envisaged to lift such constraints. Results suggest that 1 to 2 percentage points of additional GDP growth per year could be gained through public expenditure reform, greater domestic competition, and tax harmonization.

Keywords: Economic Theory&Research; Debt Markets; Emerging Markets; Access to Finance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007-08-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Exploring Lebanon's Growth Prospects (2007)
Working Paper: Exploring Lebanon's Growth Prospects (2007)
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