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Aid, growth, and real exchange rate dynamics

Shantayanan Devarajan, Delfin Go, John Page, Sherman Robinson and Karen Thierfelder

No 4480, Policy Research Working Paper Series from The World Bank

Abstract: Devarajan, Go, Page, Robinson, and Thierfelder argued that if aid is about the future and recipients are able to plan consumption and investment decisions optimally over time, then the potential problem of an aid-induced appreciation of the real exchange rate (Dutch disease) does not occur. In their paper,"Aid, Growth and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics,"this key result is derived without requiring extreme assumptions or additional productivity story. The economic framework is a standard neoclassical growth model, based on the familiar Salter-Swan characterization of an open economy, with full dynamic savings and investment decisions. It does require that the model is fully dynamic in both savings and investment decisions. An important assumption is that aid should be predictable for intertemporal smoothing to take place. If aid volatility forces recipients to be constrained and myopic, Dutch disease problems become an issue.

Keywords: Economic Theory&Research; Debt Markets; Currencies and Exchange Rates; Emerging Markets (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008-01-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr, nep-dev and nep-ifn
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Working Paper: Aid, Growth, and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics (2011) Downloads
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