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Managing sudden stops

Barry Eichengreen and Poonam Gupta

No 7639, Policy Research Working Paper Series from The World Bank

Abstract: The recent reversal of capital flows to emerging markets has pointed up the continuing relevance of the sudden stop problem. This paper analyzes the sudden stops in capital flows to emerging markets since 1991. It shows that the frequency and duration of sudden stops have remained largely unchanged, but that the relative importance of different factors in their incidence has changed. In particular, global factors appear to have become more important relative to country-specific characteristics and policies. Sudden stops now tend to affect different parts of the world simultaneously rather than bunching regionally. Stronger macroeconomic and financial frameworks have allowed policy makers to respond more flexibly, but these more flexible responses have not guaranteed insulation or mitigated the impact of the phenomenon. These findings suggest that the challenge of understanding and coping with capital-flow volatility is far from fully met.

Keywords: Fiscal Adjustment; Public Sector Fiscal Adjustment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-04-13
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ifn and nep-opm
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (20)

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Related works:
Chapter: Managing Sudden Stops (2018) Downloads
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