Gone with the Windfall - Germany‘s Second LTC Strengthening Act and its Intergenerational Implications
Lewe Bahnsen,
Stefan Fetzer,
Fabian Franke () and
Christian Hagist
No 18-05, WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group from WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management
Abstract:
Due to the debate about the generosity of LTC insurance benefits the German government decided to increase benefits and widen the circle of LTC beneficiaries with the Second LTC Strengthening Act. In this paper, we evaluate the long-term implications of this recent reform for the German LTC insurance scheme. Using the framework of generational accounting we show that the reform has led to a widening of the short-term gap between revenues and expenditure and that the LTC insurance is not sustainably financed, neither pre- nor post-reform. By the early 2020s there will be fiscal pressure for further reforms. From an intergenerational perspective, the reform can be seen as a windfall to current beneficiaries increasing the intergenerational redistribution through the pay-as-you-go system.
Keywords: Generational accounting; long-term care insurance; intergenerational distribution (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H51 I13 J14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 33 pages
Date: 2018-10-26
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age and nep-ias
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)
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