Moving Into the Slow Lane

Vasily Astrov, Alexandra Bykova, Rumen Dobrinsky (), Richard Grieveson, Doris Hanzl-Weiß, Peter Havlik, Mario Holzner, Gabor Hunya, Sebastian Leitner, Isilda Mara (), Olga Pindyuk, Leon Podkaminer, Sandor Richter, Hermine Vidovic () and Goran Vukšić
Additional contact information
Rumen Dobrinsky: The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw, https://wiiw.ac.at/rumen-dobrinsky-s-84.html
Hermine Vidovic: The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw, https://wiiw.ac.at/hermine-vidovic-s-18.html

No Spring2019, wiiw Forecast Reports from The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw

Abstract: Growth in much of CESEE will remain healthy by post-crisis standards, but has passed its peak. We expect most economies to slow from here, reflecting weaker external demand and domestic capacity constraints. Global trade tensions, structural weakness in the eurozone and Brexit all pose downside risks to our forecasts.

Keywords: CESEE; economic forecast; Europe; Central and Eastern Europe; Southeast Europe; Western Balkans; new EU Member States; CIS; Russia; Ukraine; Romania; Czech Republic; Hungary; Turkey; Serbia; convergence; business cycle; overheating; external risks; trade war; EU funds; private consumption; credit; investment; exports; FDI; labour markets; unemployment; employment; wage growth; unit labour costs; migration; inflation; savings rate; financial crisis; financial markets; direct lending; leverage; central banks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E20 E31 E32 F15 F21 F22 F32 F51 G21 H60 J20 J30 J61 O47 O52 O57 P24 P27 P33 P52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 181 pages including 39 Tables and 68 Figures
Date: 2019-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis, nep-mac and nep-tra
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wii:fpaper:fc:spring2019

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