Health and labor market effects of an unanticipated rise in retirement age. Evidence from the 2012 Italian pension reform

Manuel Serrano‐Alarcón, Chiara Ardito, Roberto Leombruni, Alexander Kentikelenis, Angelo d’Errico, Anna Odone, Giuseppe Costa, David Stuckler and Iwgrh

Health Economics, 2023, vol. 32, issue 12, 2745-2767

Abstract: As retirement ages increase around the world, not all workers may be equally able to extend their working lives. In this article, we examine the health and labor market effects of an Italian pension reform that suddenly increased the normal retirement age up to 7 years for women and up to 2 years for men. To do this, we use linked labor and healthcare administrative data, jointly with survey data and difference‐in‐difference methods. Our results show that the reform was effective in postponing retirement among both genders, as pension claiming dropped substantially for older workers. However, there were also side effects as the reform significantly pushed previously employed men and women into unemployment and disability pension. Among women only, the reform also increased sick leave and hospitalizations related to mental health and injuries. These effects were driven by women with previously low health status, suggesting that undifferentiated and abrupt increases in pension age might harm more vulnerable workers. Coherently with the milder tightening of retirement age experienced by men, labor market responses were smaller in size, and they did not suffer any significant health effects.

Date: 2023
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https://doi.org/10.1002/hec.4749

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