Bitcoin and sentiment

Hoje Jo, Haehean Park and Hersh Shefrin

Journal of Futures Markets, 2020, vol. 40, issue 12, 1861-1879

Abstract: Baker and Wurgler identify high sentiment betas with small startup firms that have great growth potential. On the surface, cryptocurrencies share important features in common with high sentiment beta stocks. This paper investigates the degree to which, during the period July 18, 2010–February 26, 2018, the return to bitcoin displayed the characteristics of a high sentiment beta stock. Using a sentiment‐dependent factor model, the analysis indicates that in large measure, bitcoin returns resembled returns to high sentiment beta stocks. Additionally, we show that bitcoin's expected returns are low when sentiment measured by Volatility Index is high while expected returns are high when sentiment is low.

Date: 2020
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https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.22156

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