Predicting job performance: A comparison of expert opinion and research findings*

Stephen Dakin and J. Armstrong
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Stephen Dakin: University of Canterbury - Christchurch - New Zealand

General Economics and Teaching from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: A survey was conducted of New Zealand personnel consultants. Their beliefs about the validity of various selection tools and their claimed usage of these tools was then compared with the validities in a previously published meta-analysis. The experts claimed to use the predictors they believed to be most valid. However, their beliefs about validity were unrelated to empirically demonstrated validities (Spearman's rho = -0.06). Suggestions were made on the types of research that are needed to improve predictive ability in selection and on the ways in which practitioners can use existing research.

Keywords: Employee selection; Forecasting; Job performance; Predictor validity; Research vs. expert opinion. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: A (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 8 pages
Date: 2004-12-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-bec
Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 8
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Related works:
Journal Article: Predicting job performance: A comparison of expert opinion and research findings (1989)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412005

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