Fishing in the same pool: Export strengths and competitiveness of China and CESEE at the EU-15 Market

Christian Schitter, Maria Silgoner, Katharina Steiner and Julia Wörz
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Julia Maria Woerz ()

No 96, FIW Working Paper series from FIW

Abstract: We investigate the impact of the emergence of China as a global competitor on the trade performance of Central, Eastern and Southeastern European (CESEE) countries at the EU-15 market. The paper takes a comprehensive approach in terms of empirical methods and data. We analyze export growth, export market shares, extensive and intensive margins and the number of trade links, applying highly disaggregated data at the 6 digit HS level over the period 1995 – 2010. We show that the most contested markets are those for capital goods and transport equipment, product categories where both regions have gained market shares and comparative advantage. We show that the number of trade links at the product level where both regions are active has increased substantially, indicating intensified competition. At the same time hardly any trade links were lost, which points against cut-throat competition between CESEE and China. The decomposition of export growth along the extensive versus the intensive margin shows that in line with the literature, the deepening of already existing trade relationships (i.e. the intensive margin) contributed most strongly export growth in both regions, whereas the contribution of new trade links (i.e. the extensive margin) had only a minor contribution, apart from the instance of EU accession which boosted the extensive margin considerably. We further decompose intensive margin growth into demand related structural effects and a supplier related competitiveness effect. Both the CESEE region and China successfully intensified their trade linkages above all as a result of their outstanding competitiveness as shown by the econometric shift-share analysis. While this suggests that both regions pursue a able export strategy, further diversification of production towards promising new industries and markets will become increasingly crucial for both, especially in face of projected slower EU-15 market growth in the longer run.

Keywords: competitiveness; trade; sectoral market shares; shift-share analysis; Central; Eastern and Southeastern Europe; China (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F14 F15 O57 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 34
Date: 2012-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-bec, nep-eur and nep-tra
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Working Paper: Fishing in the same pool? export strengths and competitiveness of China and CESEE in the EU-15 Market (2013)
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