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Macroeconomic fluctuations and bank lending: evidence for Germany and the euro area

Sandra Eickmeier, Boris Hofmann and Andreas Worms

No 2006,34, Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies from Deutsche Bundesbank

Abstract: This paper analyzes how bank lending to the private nonbank sector responds dynamically to aggregate supply, demand and monetary policy shocks in Germany and the euro area. The results suggest that the dynamic responses in the two areas are broadly similar, although there are some differences in the relative contribution of the three shocks to the development of output, prices, interest rates and bank loans over time. In order to assess the role of bank lending in the transmission of macroeconomic shocks, we perform counterfactual simulations and analyze the dynamic responses of German loan sub-aggregates in order to test the distributional implications of potential credit market frictions. The results suggest that there is no evidence that loans amplify the transmission of macroeconomic fluctuations or that a "financial accelerator" via bank lending exists.

Keywords: Business cycle fluctuations; bank lending; SVAR model; sign restrictions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 E44 G21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-cba, nep-eec, nep-mac and nep-mon
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (16)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Bank Lending: Evidence for Germany and the Euro Area (2009) Downloads
Journal Article: Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Bank Lending: Evidence for Germany and the Euro Area (2009) Downloads
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