Indeterminacy with preferences featuring multiplicative habits in consumption: lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2016)

Aleksandar Vasilev

EconStor Preprints from ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics

Abstract: We introduce consumption habits into an exogenous growth model augmented with a detailed government sector, and calibrate the model to Bulgarian data for the period following the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2016). We show that in contrast to the case without habits, e.g., Vasilev (2009), when the economy features saddle-path stability, the habit motive alone leads to equilibrium indeterminacy in the model. When habits enter multiplicatively in the representative agent's utility function, the setup exhibits "sink" dynamics, and equilibrium paths are determined by "animal spirits." These results are in line with the findings in the literature, e.g., Benhabib and Farmer (1994, 1996) and Farmer (1999), and have major implications for policy-making and welfare.

Keywords: Equilibrium indeterminacy; animal spirits; multiplicative consumption habits; Bulgaria (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 E37 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac, nep-tra and nep-upt
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Journal Article: Indeterminacy with preferences featuring multiplicative habits in consumption: lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2016) (2020)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:esprep:182499

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