Long memory in Turkish Unemployment Rates

Luis Gil-Alana, Zeynel Ozdemir () and Aysıt Tansel ()

No 123, GLO Discussion Paper Series from Global Labor Organization (GLO)

Abstract: In this paper we have examined the unemployment rate series in Turkey by using long memory models and in particular employing fractionally integrated techniques. Our results suggest that unemployment in Turkey is highly persistent, with orders of integration equal to or higher than 1 in most cases. This implies lack of mean reversion and permanence of the shocks. We found evidence in favor of mean reversion in the case of female unemployment and this happens for all the groups of non-agricultural, rural, urban and youth unemployment series. The possibility of non-linearities are observed only in the case of female unemployment and the degree of persistence is higher in the cases of female and youth unemployment series. Important policy implications emerge from our empirical results. Labor and macroeconomic policies will most likely have long lasting effects on the unemployment rates.

Keywords: Unemployment; hysteresis; NAIRU; fractional integration; Turkey (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 E24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ara, nep-cta, nep-cwa and nep-mac
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/169356/1/GLO-DP-0123.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Long Memory in Turkish Unemployment Rates (2019)
Working Paper: Long Memory in Turkish Unemployment Rates (2017)
Working Paper: Long Memory in Turkish Unemployment Rates (2017)
Working Paper: Long Memory in Turkish Unemployment Rates (2017)
Working Paper: Long memory in Turkish Unemployment Rates (2017)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:glodps:123

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in GLO Discussion Paper Series from Global Labor Organization (GLO) Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics ().