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Cryptocurrencies, Metcalfe's law and LPPL models

Daniel Traian Pele and Miruna Mazurencu-Marinescu-Pele

No 2018-056, IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers from Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series"

Abstract: In this paper we investigate the statistical properties of cryptocurrencies by using alpha-stable distributions. We also study the benefits of the Metcalfe's law (the value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of connected users of the system) for the evaluation of cryptocurrencies. As the results showed a potential for herding behaviour, we used LPPL models to capture the behaviour of cryptocurrencies exchange rates during an endogenous bubble and to predict the most probable time of the regime switching.

Keywords: cryptocurrency; Bitcoin; CRIX; Log-Periodic Power Law; Metcalfe's law; stable distribution (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 C32 C51 C53 C58 E41 E42 E47 E51 G1 G17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:irtgdp:2018056

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