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partialCI: An R package for the analysis of partially cointegrated time series

Matthew Clegg, Christopher Krauss and Jonas Rende

No 05/2017, FAU Discussion Papers in Economics from Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics

Abstract: Partial cointegration is a weakening of cointegration, allowing for the residual series to contain a mean-reverting and a random walk component. Analytically, the residual series is described by a partially autoregressive process. The partialCI package provides estimation, testing, and simulation routines for PCI models in state space. We illustrate the functionality with two examples: A financial application in the context of pairs trading and a macroeconomic application, i.e., the relationship between GDP and consumption. For both examples, we show that the variables are not cointegated in the classic sense, but can be modeled with partial cointegration.

Keywords: R software; cointegration; partial cointegration; pairs trading; permanent components; transient components (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ets
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