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How intermediates trade affects the formation of free trade agreements: A study analyzing pairwise trade flows of 70 countries

Bianca Willert

No 147, Thuenen-Series of Applied Economic Theory from University of Rostock, Institute of Economics

Abstract: International trade and fragmentation of production lead to increased trade in intermediate goods. Increased multi-stage production promotes the formation of free-trade agreements (FTA). In this paper, the relationship between intermediates trade and FTAs is examined with a two-step Pseudo Poisson Maximum Likelihood model. The analysis of a comprehensive dataset of pairwise trade-flow data of 70 countries from the years 1995-2011 shows a significant connection between trade in intermediates and the participation in free-trade agreements. A two-way relationship is identified: intermediates trade increases the probability to form a FTA and FTAs lead to an increase in intermediates trade.

Keywords: free-trade agreements; international trade; intermediates trade; multi-stage production; fragmentation of production; vertical linkages; third-country effects; gravity equations; distance coefficients; border effects (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017, Revised 2017
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:roswps:147

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